LLM Market Penetration Dashboard

Data as of Q2 2026  ·  Sources: Menlo Ventures, LMArena, SimilarWeb, company disclosures, analyst estimates Kearney Internal — Confidential

Popularity vs. Capability (bubble = developer mindshare)

X axis — API/web monthly active usage index (0–100). Y axis — composite benchmark score. Bubble size — estimated developer mindshare %.

Enterprise API Market Share (estimated %)

Enterprise production-workload usage share (per Menlo Ventures + analyst estimates). Note: consumer/chat traffic share differs sharply — ChatGPT still leads there.

Model Leaderboard & Market Signals

#ModelCompanyType TierEnt. Share Dev MindshareYoY GrowthNotable Strength

Tier reflects current capability standing (Frontier / Strong / Niche), used in place of Arena Elo given the early-2026 LMArena rebrand that shifted scores independent of model quality. Share and mindshare are analyst estimates.

Open-Weight vs. Closed Model Usage Split (Enterprise)

Open-weight includes Llama, Mistral, Qwen, DeepSeek. Closed includes Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, xAI APIs. Open-weight quality gap has narrowed, but closed still dominates enterprise production.

Relative Usage Growth (indexed, Jan 2024 = 100)